I don't like Super Heavies so I have no concerns. Most matched play players don't use Forge World anyway, let alone Super Heavies.
It's just not fun to rock up with 2000pts designed to fight a range of infantry, monsters and a couple vehicles then a FW player sticks down 2 Scorpius, a Sicarian and a Mastadon.
I would have to disagree to the first statement. Even the GW Grand Tournament packet allows FW. I've played across the US and only two places didn't allow FW at the time(they do now). My own experiences aside all the major circuits allow FW.
Also the baneblade family>FW Marine LoW family. But I see them get a free pass because they're not FW(anymore). I'm going to keep driving this point home because I find it ridiculous that GW Lords of War (Gman, Magnus, Morty, Lord of Skulls, Banefamily)can be competitively costed but a worse equivalent(Fellblade/Falchion) in resin is has a "it deserved it" undertone. GW releases OP/undercosted stuff constantly(7E Eldar being the biggest offender) but if FW slips up and has one or two, that also get fixed, the whole FW range is bad.
Also Mastadons are pretty bad in all fairness. Their rules are OK but they cost way too many points.
As for Sicarans** and Scorpius' there's my point: they didn't get a massive points influx. The Fellblade was a worse baneblade yet it's unplayable now. Sicarans were overcosted too, but weren't unplayable. Now they get a price cut and are actually a competitive option now. Which is great. They had to compete with the new Russ series pumping out 40 punisher shots and 2d6 battlecannons.
A bit of a generalization there Idaho. We only play matched play and most of us have some sort of FW models or armies. True only a couple of us have FW superheavies(me included) but mostly its because standard GW SHs are so much more points efficient and effective than FW SHs.
The standard GW LoWs are better, full stop. They should have gotten a massive points increase too. They didn't. FW ones did. Why? If it was to address feedback why did the Fire Raptor** get cheaper? Especially when Assault Cannon Razorbacks went up?
The Spartan** did escape the axe fortunately for my Templar friend. All it was is a beefier land raider anyway.
So all in all, resin marine LoWs minus the Spartan** are power level only but some of the FW marine non-LoWs got better. So Guard and Chaos will continue their reign of superheavies and Primarchs on the competitive scene. Marines can't combat that directly. Marine players will have to spread their points around and make it so that killing one unit is overkill and help reduce the efficiency of plastic LoWs.
With Sicarans** and Fire Raptors**(Surprisingly) getting cheaper it means we can spread points out so a better plastic LoW across the table can't blow out an expensive model of our own and make a chunk of it''s points back as easily. I expect the non Ultramarine meta to shift towards compartmentalizing and more MSU. Shadowswords OHKO anything they touch, and I bring them up because I see them constantly, so the more the points are spread out while maintaining efficiency the better. Plasma Inceptors getting cheaper, for example, can do some heavy lifting now. Venators making enemy LoWs have -1BS is going to be very beneficial.
**These three kits do have one thing in common: